Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.176335 2.600690 3.076418 3.647863 4.314184 5.065077 5.973817
2026-01-18 1.574970 2.116554 2.788933 3.679296 4.820852 6.228196 8.086527
2026-01-25 1.155957 1.715865 2.473007 3.559371 5.063304 7.054595 9.869741
2026-02-01 0.876968 1.420471 2.212093 3.428733 5.225686 7.750597 11.526207
2026-02-08 0.711160 1.244058 2.072279 3.422941 5.531004 8.645046 13.524701
2026-02-15 0.590488 1.108384 1.962159 3.430673 5.837810 9.553613 15.618710
2026-02-22 0.488727 0.980846 1.838448 3.388660 6.047326 10.319995 17.557221
2026-03-01 0.389707 0.836128 1.658076 3.218017 6.013596 10.683948 18.880107
2026-03-08 0.327774 0.747792 1.560945 3.173720 6.180156 11.379038 20.792891
2026-03-15 0.280203 0.677855 1.485230 3.154253 6.381957 12.144512 22.883945
2026-03-22 0.260821 0.663547 1.515106 3.338296 6.974715 13.642414 26.369728
2026-03-29 0.236038 0.631929 1.503982 3.437704 7.414761 14.901711 29.533147
2026-04-05 0.216956 0.610779 1.513711 3.585361 7.974251 16.448215 33.385390
2026-04-12 0.189777 0.563976 1.459480 3.589912 8.246783 17.480199 36.374434
2026-04-19 0.158629 0.499585 1.353631 3.464784 8.233601 17.954763 38.338898
2026-04-26 0.132377 0.441829 1.252901 3.334973 8.191729 18.362782 40.200621
2026-05-03 0.116271 0.408941 1.207813 3.328607 8.418219 19.332538 43.256077
2026-05-10 0.102961 0.381100 1.170755 3.335923 8.675100 20.385709 46.562916
2026-05-17 0.089562 0.349467 1.117752 3.294898 8.813511 21.196185 49.426432
2026-05-24 0.073830 0.305630 1.022312 3.128541 8.631285 21.288994 50.771421
2026-05-31 0.064251 0.280364 0.975634 3.085359 8.744701 22.046701 53.609776
2026-06-07 0.056614 0.259975 0.939716 3.066384 8.916182 22.949626 56.835716
2026-06-14 0.054746 0.261278 0.971715 3.245774 9.618777 25.140342 63.106608